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Development of Model Predictive Control of Hybrid Solar PV‐Wind for Economic Operation of Electrolyser System

  • Samson Mlay (First author)
  • , Jackson Justo
  • , Ibrahim Mwammenywa
  • , Sarah Ayeng'o
  • , Jan Bekkering
  • University of Dar es Salaam, College of Engineering and Technology,, Department of Electrical Engineering
  • University of Dar es Salaam, College of Engineering and Technology, Department of Mechanical and Industrial Engineering

Onderzoeksoutput: ArticleAcademicpeer review

Samenvatting

The increasing penetration of renewable energy (RE) and hydrogen technologies is reshaping the operational requirements of modern decarbonised energy systems, necessitating advanced control strategies to coordinate renewable generation, hydrogen storage, and heterogeneous end‐use demands. This paper presents a mixed‐integer Model Predictive Control (MPC) framework for a grid‐connected hybrid microgrid integrating solar photovoltaics, wind turbines, and a proton exchange membrane elec-trolyser. The system simultaneously satisfies two distinct hydrogen demand profiles: continuous residential heating and discrete mobility demand via tube‐trailer refuelling, capturing temporal dynamics rarely addressed in prior studies. To manage discrete mobility demand beyond the prediction horizon, a critical‐time mechanism was introduced to ensures timely tube‐trailer dispatch while preventing premature grid electricity imports. In contrast to existing works that primarily adopt fixed hori-zons, this study systematically compares fixed and shrinking prediction horizons with 12‐h and 24‐h lengths, evaluating their impact on operational performance and mixed‐integer linear programming computational complexity. Simulation results show RE utilisation above 96% for heating and above 90% for mobility. Hydrogen production and grid electricity consumption vary by less than 0.1% across horizon configurations. Shrinking horizons cut computation time by up to 70%, demonstrating the MPC approach as a scalable, computationally efficient solution for integrating dual hydrogen demands.
Originele taal-2English
Pagina's (van-tot)1-21
Aantal pagina's21
TijdschriftIET Smart Grid
Volume9
Nummer van het tijdschrift1
DOI's
StatusPublished - mei 2026

Duurzame ontwikkelingsdoelstellingen van de VN

Deze output draagt bij aan de volgende duurzame ontwikkelingsdoelstelling(en)

  1. SDG 07 – Betaalbare en schone energie
    SDG 07 – Betaalbare en schone energie
  2. SDG 09 – Industrie, innovatie en infrastructuur
    SDG 09 – Industrie, innovatie en infrastructuur
  3. SDG 11 – Duurzame steden en gemeenschappen
    SDG 11 – Duurzame steden en gemeenschappen
  4. SDG 13 – Klimaatactie
    SDG 13 – Klimaatactie
  5. SDG 17 - Partnerschap om de doelen te bereiken
    SDG 17 Partnerschap om de doelen te bereiken

Keywords

  • waterstofmicrogrid
  • energievraag
  • beheer
  • microgrid
  • ontwerp
  • lineaire programmering met gemengde gehele getallen
  • modelgebaseerde voorspellende regeling
  • opslag

Research Focus Areas Hanze University of Applied Sciences

  • Energie

Research Focus Areas Research Centre or Centre of Expertise

  • Systeemintegratie

Publinova thema's

  • Techniek
  • Economie en Management
  • Mens en Maatschappij

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