A comparative study of European earthquake loss estimation tools for a scenario in Istanbul

F. O. Strasser, J. J. Bommer, Karin Sesetyan, M. Erdik, Zehra Cagnan, J. Irizarry, X. Goula, A. Lucantoni, F. Sabetta, Helen Crowley, I. E. Bal, C. Lindholm

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

A damage estimation exercise has been carried out using the building stock inventory and population database of the Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality and selected European earthquake loss estimation packages: KOERILOSS, SELENA, ESCENARIS, SIGE, and DBELA. The input ground-motions, common to all models, correspond to a “credible worst case scenario” involving the rupture of the four segments of the Main Marmara Fault closest to Istanbul in a Mw 7.5 earthquake. The aim of the exercise is to assess the applicability of the selected software packages to earthquake loss estimation in the context of rapid post-earthquake response in European urban centers. The results in terms of predicted building damage and social losses are critically compared amongst each other, as well as with the results of previous scenario-based earthquake loss assessments carried out for the study area. The key methodological aspects and data needs for European rapid post-earthquake loss estimation are thus identified.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)246-256
JournalJournal of Earthquake Engineering
Volume12
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2008

Keywords

  • damage assessment
  • earthquakes
  • seismic risks
  • istanbul, turkey

Cite this

Strasser, F. O., Bommer, J. J., Sesetyan, K., Erdik, M., Cagnan, Z., Irizarry, J., ... Lindholm, C. (2008). A comparative study of European earthquake loss estimation tools for a scenario in Istanbul. Journal of Earthquake Engineering, 12(2), 246-256. https://doi.org/10.1080/13632460802014188
Strasser, F. O. ; Bommer, J. J. ; Sesetyan, Karin ; Erdik, M. ; Cagnan, Zehra ; Irizarry, J. ; Goula, X. ; Lucantoni, A. ; Sabetta, F. ; Crowley, Helen ; Bal, I. E. ; Lindholm, C. / A comparative study of European earthquake loss estimation tools for a scenario in Istanbul. In: Journal of Earthquake Engineering. 2008 ; Vol. 12, No. 2. pp. 246-256.
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abstract = "A damage estimation exercise has been carried out using the building stock inventory and population database of the Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality and selected European earthquake loss estimation packages: KOERILOSS, SELENA, ESCENARIS, SIGE, and DBELA. The input ground-motions, common to all models, correspond to a “credible worst case scenario” involving the rupture of the four segments of the Main Marmara Fault closest to Istanbul in a Mw 7.5 earthquake. The aim of the exercise is to assess the applicability of the selected software packages to earthquake loss estimation in the context of rapid post-earthquake response in European urban centers. The results in terms of predicted building damage and social losses are critically compared amongst each other, as well as with the results of previous scenario-based earthquake loss assessments carried out for the study area. The key methodological aspects and data needs for European rapid post-earthquake loss estimation are thus identified.",
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author = "Strasser, {F. O.} and Bommer, {J. J.} and Karin Sesetyan and M. Erdik and Zehra Cagnan and J. Irizarry and X. Goula and A. Lucantoni and F. Sabetta and Helen Crowley and Bal, {I. E.} and C. Lindholm",
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Strasser, FO, Bommer, JJ, Sesetyan, K, Erdik, M, Cagnan, Z, Irizarry, J, Goula, X, Lucantoni, A, Sabetta, F, Crowley, H, Bal, IE & Lindholm, C 2008, 'A comparative study of European earthquake loss estimation tools for a scenario in Istanbul' Journal of Earthquake Engineering, vol. 12, no. 2, pp. 246-256. https://doi.org/10.1080/13632460802014188

A comparative study of European earthquake loss estimation tools for a scenario in Istanbul. / Strasser, F. O.; Bommer, J. J.; Sesetyan, Karin; Erdik, M.; Cagnan, Zehra; Irizarry, J.; Goula, X.; Lucantoni, A.; Sabetta, F.; Crowley, Helen; Bal, I. E.; Lindholm, C.

In: Journal of Earthquake Engineering, Vol. 12, No. 2, 2008, p. 246-256.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

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T1 - A comparative study of European earthquake loss estimation tools for a scenario in Istanbul

AU - Strasser, F. O.

AU - Bommer, J. J.

AU - Sesetyan, Karin

AU - Erdik, M.

AU - Cagnan, Zehra

AU - Irizarry, J.

AU - Goula, X.

AU - Lucantoni, A.

AU - Sabetta, F.

AU - Crowley, Helen

AU - Bal, I. E.

AU - Lindholm, C.

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AB - A damage estimation exercise has been carried out using the building stock inventory and population database of the Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality and selected European earthquake loss estimation packages: KOERILOSS, SELENA, ESCENARIS, SIGE, and DBELA. The input ground-motions, common to all models, correspond to a “credible worst case scenario” involving the rupture of the four segments of the Main Marmara Fault closest to Istanbul in a Mw 7.5 earthquake. The aim of the exercise is to assess the applicability of the selected software packages to earthquake loss estimation in the context of rapid post-earthquake response in European urban centers. The results in terms of predicted building damage and social losses are critically compared amongst each other, as well as with the results of previous scenario-based earthquake loss assessments carried out for the study area. The key methodological aspects and data needs for European rapid post-earthquake loss estimation are thus identified.

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KW - seismic risks

KW - istanbul, turkey

KW - aardbevingen

KW - gebouwen

KW - schade

KW - istanboel, turkije

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JO - Journal of Earthquake Engineering

JF - Journal of Earthquake Engineering

SN - 1363-2469

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